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On the execution report of the state budget of the RA for the first half of 2023

The objective of the present analysis is to assess the execution of the state budget of the RA in the given period. First, we describe the general state of the economy of the RA, namely the driving forces of economic activity, the developments in individual sectors of the economy, the behavior of the components of the demand – consumption and investment – and so on. Afterwards, we analyze the performance of government revenues and expenditures by comparing the actual and planned values of the respective indicators. We conclude the analysis by summarizing the main observations and results. Full material is only available in Armenian․

  


Civil unmanned aerial vehicles: Exploitation without rules and new threats

Unmanned aerial vehicles are widely used in the world in various spheres of life: from military to commercial spheres.

Along with the security threats in terms of civil aviation, the use of civil unmanned aerial vehicles (C-UAVs) creates also threats due to the probability of using C-UAVs for carrying out terrorist attacks, the probability of causing damage to persons’ life, health or property as a consequence of using C-UAVs, as well as the probability of violating with C-UAVs privacy and data processing rules.

The analysis of the practice and legal framework of the Republic of Armenia shows that the potential threats caused by the C-UAVs are neglected at the state level, which is demonstrated, in particular, by the absence of state policies, strategic documents and comprehensive legal regulations aimed at reducing such threats. It is sufficient just to note that exploitation in the territory of Armenia of C-UAVs weighing up to 50 kg is essentially not regulated. This situation creates serious risks for the state.

In the light of the analysis of international practices concerning legal regulations on C-UAVs, the current paper makes a number of proposals aimed at outlining the strategic approach on the issue and reducing the threats which are caused by C-UAVs. The proposals may be used for developing strategic documents and other legal acts aimed at effective and realistic regulation and for determining practical measures to be undertaken by the state.

It is important to make sure that the approach of state institutions is based on the following perception:

  • taking into consideration the main risks created by C-UAVs, especially in the context of the situation on the RoA border and the aggression carried out by Azerbaijan against Armenia, it is an imperative for the Armenian government to take operative, proportionate and realistic measures for regulating the field at the minimum necessary level;
  • the absence of legal regulations, exploitation of C-UAVs without any rules creates serious threats for the RoA defense, national security and other sectors;
  • only realistic, feasible, proportionate legal regulations, corresponding to the aim and adjusted to the local specifics and the context, can be effective for regulating the issue.   

Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


A sharp increase in RA export, due to endogenous factors

From April 2022, an unprecedented growth in foreign trade turnover is observed in Armenia, which, however, cannot be explained only by the growth of the export potential of RA.

It is known that this growth is largely due to a significant inflow of people and capital, as well as western sanctions on the Russian Federation, which are consequences of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

The paper is devoted to a study of the structure of RA export (including re-export), to identify the main factors that led to the export growth in the period under review, as well as the impact of exogenous factors (which takes the most part of them) on economic growth in 2022.

The study analyzes the current state and development dynamics of the RA foreign trade turnover, highlighting the most significant changes that have occurred in recent years, and their likely impact on the growth of foreign trade turnover. The volume of the re-export as part of the RA export in 2022, as well as the size of its impact on economic growth, are estimated. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The social-economic developments in the economy of the RA for January-June 2023

In the present analysis, given the data published by the Statistical Committee of the RA, we study the recent social-economic developments in the economy of the RA. In particular, we consider the cumulative indicator of economic activity of the given month, its sectoral distribution, as well as the dynamics of individual sectors of the economy. We also analyze economic developments in the foreign trade, labour market and fiscal system of the RA. In addition, some aspects of the financial system (inflation, deposits and loans), as well as the behaviour of the exchange rate, are touched upon. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


Medium-term public expenditure framework for 2024-2026

The primary document that defines the medium-term (that is, for the upcoming three years) objectives of the government of the RA is the framework of public medium-term expenditures (MTEF), which is at the same time one of the main tools for fiscal policy communication. The effective use of the MTEF for that purpose is especially important in both crisis and post-crisis periods, as it can give policy signals to economic agents, positively affect expectations and decrease the uncertainty in the economy. The present analysis is aimed at exploring the MTEF for 2024-2026, in particular the structure of the program, the main macroeconomic forecasts and directions of fiscal policy, which reflect the government's expectations regarding the further development of the economic situation as well as government actions to ensure a rapid economic recovery. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


Energy Transition Index in the RA (2023)

The study of indicators and indices published by international organizations allows to address two important problems. First, to assess the performance of the RA in the given period with the help of comprehensive numerical measures, as well as to make intertemporal comparisons in order to understand whether the country moves in the desirable direction. Second, to compare the performance of the RA with other countries to ascertain Armenia’s relative position in the region and Eurasian Economic Union. These results are important, since they help to derive the comprehensive assessment of the economic situation, which is needed both for the public and the private sector. The present analysis is aimed at addressing the foregoing problems. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The social-economic developments in the economy of the RA for January-May 2023

In the present analysis, given the data published by the Statistical Committee of the RA, we study the recent social-economic developments in the economy of the RA. In particular, we consider the cumulative indicator of economic activity of the given month, its sectoral distribution, as well as the dynamics of individual sectors of the economy. We also analyze economic developments in the foreign trade, labour market and fiscal system of the RA. In addition, some aspects of the financial system (inflation, deposits and loans), as well as the behaviour of the exchange rate, are touched upon. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


Global Gender Gap Index in the RA (2022)

The study of indicators and indices published by international organizations allows to address two important problems. First, to assess the performance of the RA in the given period with the help of comprehensive numerical measures, as well as to make intertemporal comparisons in order to understand whether the country moves in the desirable direction. Second, to compare the performance of the RA with other countries to ascertain Armenia’s relative position in the region and Eurasian Economic Union. These results are important, since they help to derive the comprehensive assessment of the economic situation, which is needed both for the public and the private sector. The present analysis is aimed at addressing the foregoing problems. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The " Resistance Operating Concept " as a possible conceptual component of the “Nation-Army” idea

After the april 2016 war, on October 3, the new appointed Minister of Defense of the Republic of Armenia Vigen Sargsyan launched the concept of modernization of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Armenia, based on the "Nation-Army" vision. Within the framework of the mentioned concept, a comprehensive review of the defense sector legislation was carried out, a seven-year plan for the modernization of the RA Armed Forces was developed and implemented, the "Pativ unem", "Yes em" programs were introduced, and a life and health insurance fund for servicemen was created. After the change of power in 2018, the new authorities launched a serious anti-propaganda against the “Nation-Army” idea, and although later the authorities tried to copy some elements of the “Nation-Army” vision, in particular by creating a people's militia, but the concept as such continued to be ostentatiously rejected. The 44-day war and the events that took place after it showed that there is no alternative to the "Nation-Army" concept for Armenia.
Taking into account that in the current military-political and geopolitical conditions around Armenia, the "Nation-Army" idea is more than contemporary, as well as considering the "Resistance Operating Concept (ROC)" as one of the most important conceptual components of the "Nation-Army" idea, the "LUYS" foundation translated and summarized Otto Fialia's 2020 work titled " Resistance Operating Concept ". At the same time, an attempt was made to present the applicability of this concept within the framework of the "Nation-Army" idea.
“The Resistance Operating Concept” (ROC) was proposed by US Special Operations Command Europe (SOCEUR) in various workshops and later reflected in Otto Fialia's 2020 paper titled “Resistance Operating Concept”. The concept considers actions that a sovereign state can take to strengthen its national defense strategy and prepare to defend against a partial or complete loss of national sovereignty. Full material is only available in Armenian․

  


On the execution report of the state budget of the RA of 2022

The objective of the present analysis is to assess the execution of the state budget of the RA in the given period. First, we describe the general state of the economy of the RA, namely the driving forces of economic activity, the developments in individual sectors of the economy, the behavior of the components of the demand – consumption and investment – and so on. Afterwards, we analyze the performance of government revenues and expenditures by comparing the actual and planned values of the respective indicators. We conclude the analysis by summarizing the main observations and results. Full material is only available in Armenian․

  


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